In the January 18, 2024, meeting of the Market Subcommittee (MSC), stakeholders were invited to review and submit feedback on the Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions (MSC-2019-1) by Thursday, February 8, 2024. NOTE: The presentation has been updated and reposted to include more descriptions about MISO's VOLL Study approach, and more detailed VOLL results.
MISO is especially interested in:
The appropriate Value of Lost Load (VOLL), once determined, should be used for both Price Caps and EEA3 administrative price. MISO should exercise caution not to rashly increase VOLL, dislocating the market and shocking its participants. The real life economic impacts of an extended period of time with VOLL pricing need to be mitigated by a reasonable increase in VOLL from the current $3,500/MWh, a “circuit breaker” mechanism to cap market losses, or both.
MidAmerican Energy appreciates the opportunity to provide feedback on the updating of VOLL and EDR offer cap solutions (MSC-2019-1).
MidAmerican would like MISO to better explain why it makes sense to tie the value of lost load to the financial loss experienced by the actual customer. Under most electric tariffs, there is no mechanism for that customer to receive any payment for lost service.
MidAmerican is also concerned that the use of value of lost load doesn’t truly penalize the market participant that should be penalized. That could be best explained through an example. Assume two market participants with one being 1,000 MWs short in the day ahead market compared to load (MP1) and the other being 1,000 MWs long compared to load (MP2). If MP2 loses 1,000 MWs in real time requiring load shed, MP2 will be the one that experiences the financial pain in addition to having to share load shed with MP1 on a load ratio share even though MP2 was able to generate their own needs in real time. Although this is the how it would work today, raising VOLL only further exacerbates the inequities of the current market design. MISO should also consider that if you raise VOLL too high, that could potentially also cause inefficiencies in the market. At some point, if the risk gets high enough, market participants may be too conservative with things like load forecast or generator availability.
Like many other MISO market participants, MidAmerican is a rate regulated vertically integrated utility, whose main objective is to keep rate payer rates low, while providing them reliable energy. Given that structure, MidAmerican believes that use of a higher VOLL would be appropriate to incent additional LMRs and future peaking type generation that can be captured in real time when not committed in the day ahead market, but severe financial punishment to those that lose generation in real time should not be considered lightly, as it eventually will end up resulting in higher rates to customers.
Advanced Energy Management Alliance
MISO Market Sub-Committee (MSC)
“Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions (MSC-2019-1) (20240118)”
February 8, 2024
Advanced Energy Management Alliance (“AEMA”) [1] respectfully submits the following comments to the MISO Market Sub-Committee (“MSC”) on the feedback request made by MISO at the January 18, 2024, meeting of the MSC.[2] AEMA is a trade association under Section 501(c)(6) of the Federal tax code whose members include national distributed energy resource companies and advanced energy management service and technology providers, including demand response (“DR”) providers, as well as some of the nation’s largest demand response and distributed energy resources. AEMA members support the beneficial incorporation of distributed energy resources (“DER” or “DERs”), including advanced energy management solutions, into wholesale markets as a means to achieving electricity cost savings for consumers, contributing to system reliability, and ensuring balanced price formation. These comments represent the collective consensus of AEMA as an organization, although they do not necessarily represent the individual positions of the full diversity of AEMA member companies.
At the January 18th meeting of the MSC, MISO reviewed their proposal to update the Value of Lost Load (VOLL) calculations and highlighted multiple MISO Tariff items that are connected to the VOLL. One of the impacted items identified by MISO staff was the implications to Emergency Demand Response (EDR). MISO staff shared multiple alternatives to potentially removing the direct Tariff link between EDR Offer Cap and VOLL. One of the options suggested by MISO staff would be to “retire and/or replace the EDR instrument.”
AEMA supports the update of VOLL and related revisions to Offer Caps within the MISO market; however, AEMA does not support retiring the EDR instrument and offers the following comments:
AEMA appreciates consideration of these comments by MISO staff as part of reforms to improve scarcity pricing and price formation in MISO. We welcome any questions, and encourage you to contact either Katherine Hamilton, Executive Director of AEMA, or DeWayne Todd, representative of AEMA, should you wish to discuss this with AEMA members.
Respectfully Submitted,
Katherine Hamilton
Executive Director, Advanced Energy Management Alliance
Katherine@aem-alliance.org
202-524-8832
or
DeWayne Todd
DDT LLC
dewaynetodd1297@gmail.com
812-573-8052
[1] For additional information, see AEMA website: http://aem-alliance.org
[2] 20240118 MSC Item 06 Continued Reforms to Improve Scarcity Pricing and Price Formation (MSC-2019-1).pdf
WPPI offers the following feedback on the 1/18/2024 MSC presentation, Item 06 Continued Reforms to Improve Scarcity Pricing and Price Formation (MSC-2019-1) - Updating VOLL and EDR Offer Cap:
WEC Energy Group does not have a specific VOLL in mind to serve as the Locational Marginal Pricing (LMP)/Marginal Clearing Price (MCP) Price Cap and Administrative price applied during MISO-directed load-shedding (EEA3). VOLL should be high enough to incent proper supply and demand side behavior but not irrationally high in relation to the price caps in other markets.
Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) Staff appreciates MISO’s discussion regarding updating the VOLL figure and scarcity pricing. The current value of VOLL is likely too low and should be set higher to properly value energy and incentivize generator performance during periods of scarcity. Given the magnitude of potential increase in VOLL and that, in some cases, higher prices may be unactionable due to issues such as transmission constraints or generator operating limits, MISO should also investigate some sort of circuit breaker option to protect load from undue energy prices.
Please note that this feedback is from the ICC Staff and does not represent an official position of the ICC or any of its Commissioners.
Mississippi Public Service Commission (MPSC) Response to MSC: Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions (MSC-2019-1) (20240118)
In the January 18, 2024, meeting of the Market Subcommittee (MSC), stakeholders were invited to review and submit feedback on the Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions (MSC-2019-1) by Thursday, February 8, 2024. NOTE: The presentation has been updated and reposted to include more descriptions about MISO's VOLL Study approach, and more detailed VOLL results.
MISO is especially interested in:
• What value of Value of Lost Load (VOLL) would be appropriate to serve as the:
o Locational Marginal Pricing (LMP)/Marginal Clearing Price (MCP) Price Cap; and
o Administrative price applied during MISO-directed load-shedding (EEA3)
• Preferred direction for Emergency Demand Response (EDR) Offer Cap (see slide 19 in Item 06 posted presentation)
Feedback is due 2/8/24.
Feedback
VOLL
The MPSC believes that Value of Lost Load (VOLL) calculations should not be used to set an energy locational marginal price (LMP) cap, including during emergencies, for the following reasons:
First, it’s inherently inaccurate as between different types of customers (retail, commercial and industrial), different locations (state, zones, subregions) and different durations. A customer’s willingness to lose electrical service in southern Mississippi is likely very different from a customer in Illinois. And, averaging the values ensures that each customers’ value is wrong (i.e., by design, it underestimates the value to some customers and overestimates the value to others). Averaging may simplify the process for MISO but it in no way accurately predicts any single customer’s value.
Second, VOLL calculations rely on assumptions that do not reflect reality at the time power is lost. For example, the value to an aluminum smelter that is not producing aluminum at the time power is lost is significantly less than a smelter in the middle of a production run.
Third, FERC issued Order No. 831 to address emergency pricing, including a cap, for energy.
Fourth, Southwest Power Pool (SPP) does not use VOLL for any purpose. Considering the amount of interchange between MISO and SPP, use of a common pricing methodology would eliminate a seam (difference) between MISO and SPP.
EDR Offer Cap
The MPSC takes no position on EDR.
FEEDBACK ON VOLL ISSUES ON BEHALF OF THE LOUISIANA COMMISSION STAFF
At the 1/18/24 MSC meeting MISO made a presentation on "Continued Reform to Improve Scarcity Pricing and Price Formation – updating VOLL and EDR Offer Cap." It seeks feedback on what VOLL would be appropriate to serve as the LMP/MCP price caps and the administrative price applied during MISO-directed load-shedding EEA3. MISO also seeks feedback for the EDR offer cap.
American Municipal Power (AMP) appreciates the opportunity to provide feedback on updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap and provides the following comments.
VOLL
EDR Offer Cap
Wolverine is not convinced that the current VOLL price needs to change. As explained below, Wolverine is concerned that increasing the VOLL price will only result in punitive damages and do little to improve the reliability of the grid. Therefore, Wolverine requests MISO cautiously approach increasing the VOLL price and appropriately consider the intended purpose of a scarcity price mechanism as well as the unintended consequences (e.g., bankruptcy, public health). Wolverine may have additional comments and positions that arise from MISO’s upcoming February presentation.
Lastly, implementation of VOLL pricing is a reactive measure, and Wolverine encourages MISO to focus more attention on proactive measures that would better support the reliability of the grid before an issue arises. While these proactive measures may initially appear to result in higher costs, these costs are likely far lower when compared against the costs incur from implementing VOLL pricing – e.g., better incentives for DR/LMR to participate in DA/RT markets or establishment of multi-day commitments for forecastable extreme events.
Vistra Corp. (“Vistra”) appreciates MISO providing parties with the opportunity to submit feedback on the “Continued Reforms to Improve Scarcity Pricing and Price Formation” presentation that Staff shared during the January Market Subcommittee (MSC) meeting. Vistra encourages MISO to strongly consider improvements to the formation and slope of the Operating Reserve Demand Curve (ORDC) to ensure that the ORDC properly reflects the reliability value of reserves; this includes increasing the lower and upper bounds of the ORDC and eliminating the current stair-step pricing methodology in favor of a sloped curve that will properly reflect the value that reserve resources provide in preventing load shed at each point on the curve. The recent extreme weather events that have impacted the MISO system highlight the need for accurate pricing leading up to and during scarcity and emergency conditions to signal the value of reserve products over a range of reserve shortage levels. Over the long term, an improved ORDC from MISO will act as a critical price signal to encourage new generation investment when and where it is needed most.
Vistra looks forward to additional discussions on the ORDC during the February MSC meeting.
to: | MISO Market Subcommittee (MSC) |
from: | The Entergy Operating Companies |
subject: | Updates to Value of Lost Load (VOLL) and Emergency Demand Response (EDR) Offer Cap |
date: | February 8, 2024 |
|
|
The Entergy Operating Companies ("EOCs")[1] appreciate the opportunity to provide feedback on Updates to Value of Lost Load (VOLL) and Emergency Demand Response (EDR) Offer Cap. The EOCs comments regarding the feedback requested is provided below.
What value of Value of Lost Load (VOLL) would be appropriate to serve as the:
In summary, the EOCs refrain from taking a strong stance on raising the current VOLL, advising MISO to approach cautiously and thoroughly discuss the consequence of a higher VOLL
Preferred direction for Emergency Demand Response (EDR) Offer Cap
The EOCs suggest that, due to the limited use of EDRs by MISO in the past and the difficulties associated with dispatching EDRs that MISO pointed out, perhaps a better use of time and resources would be to focus more on DRRs and LMRs as a way to provide demand-side and distributed energy and capacity. The EOCs recommend that MISO take into account existing comments and feedback from Stakeholders regarding LMR accreditation reforms, aiming to improve the program and optimize the utilization of LMRs/DRR assets more efficiently.
The EOCs are not against to the retirement of the EDR instrument altogether.
[1] The Entergy Operating Companies are Entergy Arkansas, LLC, Entergy Louisiana, LLC, Entergy Mississippi, LLC, Entergy New Orleans, LLC, and Entergy Texas, Inc.
Joint Comments
of
Association of Businesses Advocating Tariff Equity (ABATE)
Illinois Industrial Energy Consumers (IIEC)
Louisiana Energy Users Group (LEUG)
Texas Industrial Energy Consumers (TIEC)
Coalition of MISO Transmission Customers (CMTC)
Midwest Industrial Customers (MIC)
NIPSCO Large Customer Group (NLCG)[1]
Regarding
MISO Market Subcommittee
Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions
(MSC-2019-1)
February 8, 2024
I. Introduction and Summary of Comments
ABATE, CMTC, IIEC, LEUG, MIC, NLCG and TIEC appreciate the opportunity to provide comments to MISO on the topics of the Value of Lost Load (VOLL) and Emergency Demand Response (EDR) service.
With respect to VOLL, the End Customer Sector opposes any changes in VOLL pricing at this time based on analysis provided by MISO to date which has not provided adequate support or analysis to justify increasing the VOLL. In particular, MISO has not considered the impact that such action would have on customers. The VOLL should be based on a thorough analysis and accurate data because a higher VOLL could create a significant risk of imposing much higher costs on customers. Moreover, a higher VOLL may not induce incremental generation availability due to non-economic restrictions on generators that are independent of market price. We urge MISO to conduct full and thorough analysis that includes consideration of customer perspectives, and to impose appropriate limitations on the application of VOLL pricing to avoid unnecessarily and unreasonably exposing customers to higher costs.
With regard to EDR service, the End Use Customer Sector opposes MISO’s proposal to eliminate the product offering. MISO should retain the current EDR product, but with appropriate reforms if needed to make the product more valuable to MISO during system emergencies. We are opposed to discontinuing the EDR product because such an action would remove one option that is currently available to address system needs under emergency conditions. Rather than discontinuing EDR, it would be more appropriate for MISO to retain this product and to work with demand response aggregators and customers to explore ways to reform the product to make it more useful to MISO’s operators. Moreover, instead of increasing EDR participation, MISO’s suggestion of lowering the EDR offer cap to the energy offer hard cap would likely make the EDR product less attractive to customers and reduce EDR participation by artificially restricting the upper bound of EDR offers. Consequently, we are opposed to proposals to reduce the current EDR offer cap.
II. Background
Through the MISO Market Subcommittee (MSC), MISO is undertaking an ongoing initiative to revisit its scarcity pricing policies. As part of this effort, MISO is working through the MSC to evaluate the merits of potentially increasing the VOLL from its current level of $3,500 per MWh that was last set in 2009. The VOLL is used to administratively establish the energy market price during system capacity emergencies, and it is also used to administratively establish the upper bound for operating reserve prices under conditions of tight operating reserves.
MISO recently updated its VOLL modeling and calculations. MISO’s analysis relied on a meta-analysis of VOLL developed by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL), but using MISO-specific drivers. MISO states that this was the same approach that MISO used to develop the current VOLL that was established in 2009. The analysis produced differentiated VOLLs by state, outage duration, season, time-of-day, and industry type. MISO developed updated VOLL estimates for one hour, two hour and eight hour outage durations. Outages with an eight hour duration had the highest VOLL estimates. MISO asserted that a VOLL that reflects an eight-hour outage duration is most consistent with the duration of previous load-shedding events in MISO. MISO’s analysis resulted in a wide range of estimated VOLLs that vary significantly by customer class, outage duration and other factors. MISO presented information to stakeholders regarding its updated VOLL analysis during the January 18, 2024 MSC meeting. MISO provided supplemental information regarding its VOLL analysis on January 19, 2024.
In parallel with its scarcity pricing initiative, MISO is reevaluating its EDR product. MISO’s Tariff establishes several types of demand response service, one of which is EDR service. As an EDR, customers can offer to reduce their loads specifically when MISO declares an emergency event (e.g., NERC EEA2 or EEA3 events). During the January 18, 2024 MSC meeting, MISO stated that there is a limited amount of capacity registered as EDRs, and pointed out that MISO has only deployed EDRs once since the inception of the service. Consequently, MISO is evaluating the merits of either discontinuing EDR service or establishing a new mechanism to establish the offer cap for EDR service. Specifically, MISO is exploring three alternatives to the status quo for EDRs, including potentially discontinuing EDR service entirely due to its limited use and encouraging existing EDRs to convert to Load Modifying Resources (LMRs) or Demand Response Resources (DRRs). In the alternative, MISO is considering the possibility of setting the EDR offer cap at a fixed value, such as the energy offer hard cap of $2,000 per MWh. A third option would be to allow EDR offers above the soft and hard energy offer caps, but with verification of the offers by the MISO IMM.
During the January 18, 2024 MSC meeting, MISO requested stakeholder feedback regarding the VOLL level that would be appropriate to serve as the energy market price cap and the administrative price applied during MISO-directed load-shedding (EEA3) events. In addition, MISO solicited feedback regarding the preferred direction with respect to the EDR offer cap. The balance of these comments provide the feedback of the End-Use Customer Sector regarding these topics.
III. Comments Regarding the VOLL Update
MISO has not provided adequate support or analysis to justify increasing the VOLL in MISO. In particular, MISO has not considered the impact that such action would have on customers. A higher VOLL creates a significant risk of imposing much higher costs on customers and failing to induce incremental generation availability due to non-economic factors that are independent of market price. For these reasons, we oppose changes to VOLL pricing at this time, and urge MISO to proceed cautiously and to conduct additional analysis regarding the VOLL prior to taking any measures to change the status quo in this regard. Our concerns are discussed in more detail below.
The End Use Customer Sector appreciates the information that MISO has provided to date regarding its VOLL update methodology and analysis, including the expanded information that MISO provided in Appendix 2 of its updated January 19, 2024 scarcity pricing presentation regarding the steps that it undertook in its VOLL analysis. However, in order to provide stakeholders an adequate opportunity to provide fully informed feedback regarding MISO’s VOLL analysis, we urge MISO to provide the complete model and inputs that it relied upon to develop its MISO VOLL estimates. In particular, we request access to MISO’s full analysis that it used to develop the Willingness to Pay study and the associated data cleaning steps that MISO conducted as part of its modeling and analysis, as summarized on slide 32 of MISO’s updated presentation. Access to this modeling and data would allow us to better understand the development of MISO’s VOLL estimates and enable us to provide more informed feedback regarding MISO’s analysis.
Based on the information and data that MISO has provided to this point, it appears that the Willingness to Pay calculation that MISO used to develop its VOLL estimates partially relies on the results of customer surveys, a process that is fairly subjective. As we understand it, the Willingness to Pay estimates were obtained by analyzing the results from 28 customer value of service reliability surveys/studies conducted by 10 major U.S. electric utilities over a 16-year time period from 1989 to 2005. The baseline data used in MISO’s study was derived from a VOLL paper prepared by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL). As the LBL’s VOLL paper notes, half of the data from LBL meta-database is taken from customer surveys that were already 15 or more years old at the time that the LBL paper was published in 2015. Moreover, the customer surveys were conducted at different times using varying survey designs, which can lead to inconsistent survey results. For these reasons, the LBL paper emphasizes the need for a coordinated, nationwide survey effort that collects interruption cost estimates for many regions and utilities simultaneously, using a consistent survey design and data collection method, in order to enhance the quality of the VOLL estimates.[2] The VOLL estimates developed by MISO using the LBL meta-database should be interpreted and applied very conservatively, with these concerns and limitations in mind.
Furthermore, MISO should develop a benefit-cost analysis that provides a sound economic basis for updating and resetting the VOLL. This analysis will help MISO evaluate the impacts that raising the VOLL to a specific level would have on customers. Importantly, the analysis would demonstrate whether a higher VOLL level provides benefits to customers through a reduced cost of out-of-market generation dispatch that exceeds the incremental cost that customers would incur through higher energy market and Operating Reserve Demand Curve (ORDC) prices during periods of system scarcity. Absent this type of analysis, customers have no analytical basis to assess whether a specific higher VOLL level would be beneficial relative to the status quo of relying on generator redispatch to ensure adequate generation availability during periods of power supply scarcity. A higher VOLL is only a more efficient outcome from the customer perspective if the higher scarcity pricing induces incremental generation availability through the market at a cost that is lower to customers than the cost of directing the out-of-merit redispatch of generation to balance the system. It is important that MISO assess the merits of implementing a higher VOLL from this perspective.
We also caution that establishing a higher VOLL may not induce significantly higher generation availability during system emergencies due to extreme weather conditions, emissions limitations or other operating restrictions that limit generation availability under emergency conditions, irrespective of the market price. These non-economic limitations on generation availability should be considered when evaluating the merits of resetting the VOLL. If these operational limitations restrict significant quantities of incremental generation from offering into the market during system emergencies, a higher scarcity price will not bring significant amounts of new generation to the market during tight system conditions. Instead, a higher VOLL would increase costs to customers without the asserted benefit of inducing incremental generation availability. MISO should keep these concerns in mind and proceed conservatively as it considers updates to the VOLL.
During the January 18, 2024 MSC meeting, MISO asserted that a VOLL that reflects an eight-hour outage duration is most consistent with the duration of previous load-shedding events in MISO. However, MISO’s assessment of the typical outage duration appears to be based on a very limited data set of only six outages, as shown on slide 9 of MISO’s January 19, 2024 updated MSC presentation. Moreover, in the data set provided, only two out of the six outages exceeded eight hours in duration, and four of the six outages were 5.5 hours or less in duration. Further, only two of the six listed outages were capacity emergencies that would trigger administratively-induced energy pricing at VOLL. Based on the data that MISO provided, we disagree with the premise that a resetting of the VOLL should be determined using VOLL estimates for an eight hour outage duration. Instead, a shorter outage duration assumption to establish the VOLL would be more appropriate.
During its MSC meeting presentation, MISO observed that residential loads are more likely to be shed during system emergencies relative to other customer classes. We agree with this observation. We also note that large customer classes who incur higher economic losses during service interruptions are the most likely to reduce their economic losses and to mitigate the cost of power interruptions through measures such as installing backup generation. Consequently, in considering an appropriate VOLL value, MISO should focus on the VOLL estimates associated with residential customers, as they have the highest exposure to service interruptions and the lowest VOLL estimates of the customer classes modeled in MISO’s VOLL analysis. Setting energy scarcity prices at levels that reflect the initial cost of shedding residential load, as opposed to the outage costs associated with other customer classes, would more accurately reflect the marginal cost of shedding firm load during system emergencies. This approach would also avoid an outcome that sets VOLL at the unreasonably high levels modeled by MISO for the small and large commercial and industrial classes.
Finally, we emphasize that resetting the VOLL at a higher level significantly increases customer risk. Specifically, a higher VOLL level would expose customers to substantially increased costs even if the VOLL price is only applied for a short period of time. A higher VOLL could lead to more frequent periods of extremely high LMPs in the MISO energy market and/or much higher levels of LMPs during such events. Even short periods of elevated energy prices set at VOLL can have substantial impacts on customer bills.
The experience of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) during Winter Storm Uri in February 2021 underscores this concern. During that extreme weather event, the decision to administratively-induce extremely high scarcity prices for an extended period of time imposed enormous costs on market participants with a large exposure to real-time market prices. Notably, the high prices failed to induce a market response sufficient to balance the system because non-economic constraints on generation availability made incremental generation unavailable at any price. As a result, customers were exposed to both high real-time energy prices and extended blackouts.
These concerns highlight the need for MISO to impose appropriate limitations on the application of VOLL to reduce customer exposure to high costs. This could be accomplished by applying some form of the Peaker Net Margin calculation used in ERCOT to reduce the energy market price cap below VOLL when the market generates sufficient revenues to cover the margin that a new peaking unit would require to enter the market. Alternatively, MISO could consider limitations on the duration of the application of VOLL during emergency events or caps on the revenues collected through VOLL prices, with the goal of reducing customer exposure to the risk of extended periods of VOLL pricing. We urge MISO to explore potential approaches to limit customer risk associated with VOLL pricing, in conjunction with stakeholders.
IV. Comments Regarding EDR Service
The End Use Customer Sector urges MISO to retain the current EDR product, but with appropriate reforms if needed to make the product more valuable to MISO during system emergencies. Members of the End Use Customer Sector do participate in EDR and see value in the EDR product. We are opposed to discontinuing the EDR product because such an action would remove one option that is currently available to address system needs during emergencies. Rather than discontinuing EDR, it would be more appropriate for MISO to retain this product and work with demand response aggregators and customers to explore ways to reform the product to make it more useful to MISO’s operators under emergency conditions. The system is better off with more optionality during system emergencies, not less. Consequently, EDR should be retained with appropriate reforms to enhance its functionality if MISO’s operators currently find it difficult to timely dispatch EDR during emergencies.
In addition, MISO should more thoroughly explain the problems that it perceives with the current EDR product. Specifically, MISO should identify and explain the specific factors that have resulted in the EDR product being thinly subscribed and infrequently dispatched. Stakeholders can then work with MISO to explore methods of addressing these concerns. As suggested above, EDR demand response aggregators and customers may have useful insights regarding potential means of increasing the value of the EDR product and expanding customer participation.
In its January 18, 2024 MSC presentation, MISO proposed two EDR offer cap solutions. Specifically, MISO is considering the possibility of setting the EDR offer cap at a fixed value, such as the energy offer hard cap of $2,000 per MWh. In the alternative, MISO suggested that it could allow EDR offers above the soft and hard energy offer caps, but with verification of the offers by the MISO Independent Market Monitor (IMM).
Under the status quo, the EDR offer cap is set at VOLL. MISO has not made a sound case for resetting the EDR offer cap at a level that is lower than VOLL. Moreover, MISO has not thoroughly explained the merits and disadvantages of its two proposed EDR offer cap solutions. In particular, MISO should explain how either suggested offer cap option could remedy MISO’s stated concerns that EDR service is poorly subscribed and infrequently dispatched.
Instead of increasing EDR participation, lowering the EDR offer cap to the energy offer hard cap, as suggested by MISO, would likely make the EDR product less attractive to customers and reduce EDR participation by artificially restricting the upper bound of EDR offers. Consequently, we are opposed to proposals to reduce the current EDR offer cap. The asserted problems with the current EDR product that MISO has identified could potentially be addressed through reforms to the product other than adjusting the offer cap. MISO should explore alternative approaches to address these concerns with impacted stakeholders, and MISO should provide opportunities to allow customers interested in the EDR product to interface directly with MISO on any potential reforms.
With regard to the specific merits of the two EDR offer cap alternative solutions proposed by MISO, a fixed offer cap seems to be an arbitrary approach, as a fixed cap could unnecessarily restrict higher EDR offers that could be justified on the basis of cost. Therefore, if MISO decides to propose an adjustment to the EDR offer cap despite the concerns expressed in our comments, allowing higher EDR offers above the soft and hard energy offer caps, subject to IMM verification, appears to be a more reasonable approach that would not restrict valid EDR offers.
Thank you for giving us the opportunity to provide this feedback. If MISO has any questions or concerns with respect to these comments, please do not hesitate to contact the following:
Jim Dauphinais
Brubaker & Associates, Inc.
(Consultants to ABATE, IIEC, LEUG, NLCG and TIEC)
(636) 898-6725
Ali Al-Jabir
Brubaker & Associates, Inc.
(Consultants to ABATE, IIEC, LEUG, NLCG and TIEC)
(361) 994-1767
Ken Stark
McNees Wallace & Nurick LLC (for CMTC)
(614) 719-2844
Kavita Maini
KM Energy Consulting, LLC (Consultants to MIC)
(262) 646-3981
[1] ABATE, IIEC, LEUG, TIEC, CMTC and MIC are all MISO Members in the End-Use Customer Sector. NLCG is a non-MISO Member stakeholder whose members include large end-use customers within Indiana that are interruptible and/or have cogeneration facilities and that take service under NIPSCO Rate Schedule 831, which allows limited market purchases through NIPSCO.
[2] Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Updated Value of Service Reliability Estimates for Electric Utility Customers in the United States, January 2015, page 48.
The Environmental Sector appreciates the opportunity to submit the following feedback regarding MISO’s anticipated VOLL reform and consideration of modification to current rules applicable to EDR resources.
Appropriate LMP/MCP Price Cap for VOLL:
According to the spoken part of the January 18, 2024 presentation, in 2009, VOLL was set assuming: a) a one-hour duration (therefore, $/MW = $/MWh); and b) a ratio of 85% Residential and 15% Small C&I, which was representative of how MISO believed LBAs would direct load shed in 2009. At the time, this led to VOLL being set at $3,500/MWh.
As stated by MISO staff during the presentation, if that same formula was used today, VOLL would be set somewhere between $15,000 and $16,000/MWh. Indeed, applying the values presented on slide 13 indicate that this 85:15 ratio would lead to a VOLL of $15,831.20/MWh.[1]
Since 2009, MISO’s own surveys, interviews, and research has shown that the impact of load shed would be felt differently across the three main customer classes: Residential, Large C&I, and Small C&I. Slide 15 indicates that in MISO’s most recent LBA survey, the customer classes to initially be shed in a wide area request would be divided as follows:
Using the same methodology that MISO applied in 2009, but with updated load shed ratios, a VOLL calculated using all other considerations that MISO made in 2009 would lead to a value of $28,735.66/MWh. We note that this is lower than the inter-class VOLL shown on slide 13 of $36,888/MWh.[2]
The question then becomes, are all the other considerations that MISO made in 2009 still valid today? If not, what impact do new considerations have on a new, more appropriate VOLL. At the very least, we present the following factors that should be considered:
In addition to the above factors, we pose the following questions:
We believe that these considerations, on net, suggest that although $28,735.66/MWh is a good starting point for determining the appropriate VOLL, there are still many more considerations that MISO and stakeholders need to explore before settling on a final value. Regardless, we do believe that the factors and questions posed above suggest that the $28,735.66/MWh value should be the lowest VOLL that MISO would consider, and that MISO should not shy away from examining a higher value. Any final VOLL must include an annual inflation adjustment to help maintain the value’s ongoing relevance.
Finally, we strongly encourage MISO to invite LBL to provide an update regarding their recent research regarding VOLL. The Environmental Sector has been in contact with individuals at LBL who are doing this research and we are happy to work with MISO to bring LBL researchers in for a presentation at the next MSC.
Administrative price applied during MISO-directed load-shedding (EEA3)
The Environmental Sector sees no reason why the administrative price applied during firm load shed (EEA3) should not be set at the VOLL. This would act as a very strong incentive for market participants to build the resources and infrastructure needed to avoid a load shed event, and it would further incentivize stronger ties with MISO’s neighbors. However, we also believe the use of VOLL as the administrative price applied during MISO-direct load-shedding should take into account the existence of congestion so as not to reward those resources that are unable to actually contribute to resolving the imbalance that is forcing MISO to direct load shed in the first place.
Direction for Emergency Demand Response (EDR) Offer Cap
The Environmental Sector has no preference for which of the three options presented MISO may choose, but no matter which choice MISO proceeds with, MISO should ensure that the role that EDRs provide to support the wholesale market and system reliability be maintained. This is especially important given the widely recognized growth in severe weather risks that are stressing MISO’s system with greater and greater frequency.
We also note that even if EDRs were only deployed once since they were first introduced, they still serve an important role just by the mere fact that they are available. However, the fact that EDRs were only deployed once may also suggest the need to adjust how they are deployed so that they are a more useful tool for system operators.
[1] We note that while a January 26, 2024 update to the presentation slides changed the units on the VOLL tables in MISO’s presentation from $/MWh to $/MW, the numerical values in the one-hour duration columns consequently maintain the same meaning as on the original version of the presentation.
[2] Even though slide 13 of the presentation indicates a different weighting: “34% Large C&I, 31% Small C&I, 35% Residential,” for the purposes of this feedback response, we believe it is more appropriate to use the information provided by MISO that corresponds with their own research into how LBAs would act today, as summarized on slide 15. However, if MISO has a justification for using different percentages on slide 13 we would like to know what that is, and are of course we are open to supporting those percentages subject to a reasonable explanation.
[3] See MISO Presentation at slide 11, upper right box.
Voltus Comments to MSC on “Updating of VOLL and EDR Offer Cap Solutions (MSC-2019-1) (20240118)”
February 8, 2024
Voltus appreciates the opportunity to comment on proposed changes to the Value of Lost Load (VOLL) and related impacts. Voltus supports the proposed updates to VOLL and to Offer Caps for related Tariff items. However, on the January 18th, 2024 meeting of the MISO Market Sub-Committee (“MSC”), MISO staff considered options for removing Tariff links between VOLL and Emergency Demand Response (EDR) resource Offer Caps.
One such option suggested by MISO staff was to “retire and/or replace the EDR instrument”. Voltus does not support this suggestion. As the first and largest aggregator of retail customers (ARC) representing residential, commercial, and industrial demand response megawatts as EDR resources in the MISO market, Voltus submits the following comments:
EDR Resources and compensation
A load asset can register as a Load Modifying Resource (LMR) resource to receive capacity accreditation in exchange for its commitment to provide curtailment during emergencies, just as a power plant receives capacity accreditation for committing to be available to MISO with a must-offer requirement. However - and in contrast to power plants - LMR resources are not compensated for energy provided during emergency deployments, despite a requirement to be available for up to 16 deployments per planning year. For many LMRs, the compensation they receive through capacity accreditation covers the fixed costs of their participation - developing a curtailment plan, on-site training, testing, and administrative costs - and the EDR program provides a crucial mechanism to ensure the variable costs of participation would be covered on a per-dispatch basis. If the EDR program is terminated, many existing LMRs may choose to no longer participate, which will raise costs for ratepayers and degrade system reliability. Similarly, there is a high degree in uncertainty in how many events may be called in a planning year - if many events are called, and the cost of curtailment for resources climbs proportionately without the per-event compensation EDR provides, the performance of those resources may degrade as LMR compensation is outweighed by the cost of participation, which will degrade system reliability.
Differences in EDR and DRR resources registered as Planning Resources
Participating facilities may enroll as Demand Response Resources (DRRs) as Planning Resources and receive capacity accreditation as well as compensation for energy provided when deployed. However, there are differences between the parameters of the DRR and EDR instruments that mean facilities that may be able to enroll as EDRs are unable to enroll as DRRs, especially if a facility needs a notification time of 2 hours or greater. BPM 026 specifies that EDR assets “reduce their gross loads specifically when MISO declares an Emergency event”, while DRR assets are instead deployed by following MISO instructions typically related to pricing signals. For many end use facilities, their ability to curtail is limited to emergency situations - they are able to provide relief in the form of curtailment to the MISO system in order to help preserve system reliability and protect against involuntary load shedding, but are unable to provide curtailment for purely economic reasons. Without the capability to enroll as an EDR, such facilities would choose not to enroll at all instead of enrolling as a DRR. For this reason, the existence of the EDR instrument expands the pool of potential demand response resources that are capable of providing relief to the MISO system during system emergencies, which in turn increase system reliability.
Respectfully Submitted,
Sean Shafer
Senior Energy Markets Analyst
Voltus, Inc
The OMS Markets Work Group and Resources Work Group (MWG & RWG) provide this feedback to MISO on its Value of Lost Load (VOLL) presentation. This feedback is from an OMS work group and does not represent a position of the OMS Board of Directors.
The MWG & RWG are supportive of MISO’s efforts to reform scarcity pricing and the Value of Lost Load (VOLL) and view this initiative as an important tool to enhance MISO’s resource adequacy construct in addition to energy and ancillary service markets. MISO’s current VOLL of $3,500/MWh has not changed since 2009, and the IMM recommended in his 2022 State of Market Report that MISO implement a revised VOLL of $25,000/MWh. Given the significant increase in VOLL as proposed by the IMM and through MISO’s 2023 nominal values, the MWG & RWG recommend that MISO and stakeholders explore certain consumer protection measures.
If MISO intends to revise VOLL consistent with this range of values, the MWG & RWG recommend that MISO decouple VOLL from the LMP price cap. Similarly, the MWG & RWG also recommend that MISO consider implementing some form of a “circuit breaker” or other price mitigation mechanism in MISO’s real-time energy markets if they experience extremely high prices for a persistent period of time.
The MWG & RWG also request that MISO explain in detail how the weighting of the various VOLL class values is determined and how MISO intends to “sum” those values to determine a single VOLL. The MWG & RWG also request that MISO clearly state whether it intends to calculate a single VOLL or multiple VOLLs for each rate class. If MISO pursues multiple VOLLs per rate class, please explain how that can be implemented in light of the current tariff. Additionally, as this proposal progresses, our expectation is that MISO will share more analysis to justify the identified VOLL class figures and to demonstrate a tangible connection between those values and desired market participant outcomes.